Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.014182 0.016478 0.019013 0.022018 0.025480 0.029342 0.033975
2026-01-11 0.010429 0.013306 0.016775 0.021257 0.026888 0.033722 0.042640
2026-01-18 0.008134 0.011255 0.015314 0.020965 0.028612 0.038582 0.052553
2026-01-25 0.006415 0.009541 0.013890 0.020355 0.029692 0.042652 0.061974
2026-02-01 0.005219 0.008281 0.012807 0.019940 0.030855 0.046871 0.072088
2026-02-08 0.004367 0.007349 0.012004 0.019739 0.032206 0.051430 0.083212
2026-02-15 0.003640 0.006469 0.011112 0.019215 0.032913 0.055017 0.093226
2026-02-22 0.003292 0.006147 0.011052 0.019997 0.035783 0.062315 0.110041
2026-03-01 0.002873 0.005624 0.010560 0.019946 0.037197 0.067328 0.123603
2026-03-08 0.002431 0.004980 0.009749 0.019189 0.037227 0.069912 0.133180
2026-03-15 0.002135 0.004563 0.009289 0.018999 0.038241 0.074316 0.146505
2026-03-22 0.002014 0.004476 0.009444 0.020006 0.041640 0.083480 0.169764
2026-03-29 0.001849 0.004276 0.009356 0.020537 0.044218 0.091476 0.191937
2026-04-05 0.001604 0.003864 0.008768 0.019950 0.044443 0.094881 0.205416
2026-04-12 0.001425 0.003567 0.008385 0.019741 0.045426 0.099926 0.222860
2026-04-19 0.001246 0.003241 0.007885 0.019198 0.045603 0.103293 0.237145
2026-04-26 0.001103 0.002976 0.007485 0.018822 0.046096 0.107379 0.253458
2026-05-03 0.000990 0.002768 0.007186 0.018641 0.047004 0.112465 0.272577
2026-05-10 0.000874 0.002532 0.006786 0.018149 0.047103 0.115716 0.287849
2026-05-17 0.000833 0.002491 0.006871 0.018892 0.050321 0.126592 0.322345
2026-05-24 0.000759 0.002346 0.006662 0.018845 0.051542 0.132837 0.346379
2026-05-31 0.000666 0.002128 0.006227 0.018128 0.050939 0.134549 0.359406
2026-06-07 0.000604 0.001993 0.006000 0.017949 0.051734 0.139845 0.382108